Emas: Simpanan atau Pelaburan?
Posted: February 2nd, 2010 | Author: pakdi | Filed under: Emas, Pelaburan, Perancangan Kewangan | 11 Comments »Saya fikir saudara Hasbullah Pit ada menulis sesuatu yang baik untuk direnungkan oleh sekalian pembaca yang budiman.
Sekarang adalah musim membeli emas bagi pihak yang meminatinya.
Namun terdapat 2 jenis penggemar emas.
Ada yang menganggapnya sebagai pelaburan, ada yang mengganggapnya sebagai simpanan.
Saya adalah yang lebih cenderung ke arah simpanan berbanding pelaburan.
Walaupun emas mempunyai nilai yang asli, tapi anda kena maklum anda masih belum boleh beli beras, lampin anak dan petrol dengan emas, melainkan anda jual dahulu emas tersebut untuk mendapatkan Ringgit Malaysia. Justeru, saya berasa saudara Hasbullah Pit mengingatkan kita semua tentang objektif pembelian emas adalah sangat baik.
“A wise man once said, ‘The worst reason to buy a stock is because the price is going up.’ That goes for gold also. Gold hit a record high of $1,226.10 on December 3, 2009 and closed out the year at $1,096.35, up 24.8 percent for the year. While a 24.8 percent gain in one year is impressive, it isn’t a reason to buy gold – or anything else for that matter.”
– Excerpt from Robert’s Conspiracy of the Rich bulletin
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Tags: cara beli emas, harga emas, kijang emas, pelaburan emas, simpanan emas, tempat beli emas
Abu Bakr ibn Abi Maryam reported that he heard the Messenger of Allah, may Allah bless him and grant him peace, say: “A time is certainly coming over mankind in which there will be nothing [left] which will be of use save a dinar and a dirham.” (The Musnad of Imam Ahmad ibn Hanbal)
Gold and silver are the most stable currency the world has ever seen.Protect your wealth by buying gold and silver.
Zero inflation in 1,400 years
A chicken at the time of the Prophet, salla’llahu alaihi wa sallam, cost one dirham; today, 1,400 years later, a chicken costs approximately one dirham.
Ada seorang pakar di US menasihatkan samada sekarang masa sesuai beli stock atau emas bergantung propaganda mainstream media, jika media mempromosikan stock, itu maknanya stock dlm keadaan bubble. Sejarah sebelum ini menunjukkan sebelum stock2 & property merudum, media memainkan peranan penting mempromosikan aset2 tersebut & akhirnya ramai yg mengalami kerugian, itulah propaganda media.
Kita lihat sekarang, media masih lagi mempromosikan stock & belum lagi mempromosikan emas.
Jika mainstream media US mula mempromosikan emas, maka masa itulah emas keadaan bubble & boleh dijual serta merta.
Tp perjalanan emas masih lagi jauh, ini merujuk kpd fear indeks & nisbah indeks dowjones dgn emas spt yg berlaku sblm ini pada tahun 1930 & 1980.
Kalau kita melihat trend harga emas dalam bentuk USD/ounce sekarang, 1 atau 5 atau 10 tahun, dijangka terdapat aliran meningkat pada masa hadapan.
Manakala trend 1 hari/1 minggu/1 bulan akan menunjukkan turun naik ‘fluctuate’ yang digemari oleh Pelabur jangka pendek ’spekulatif’ dan keadaan ini amat berisiko tinggi bagi mereka yang tidak mempunyai platform modal yang kukuh.
Pelabur jangka panjang adalah mereka yang mempunyai portfolio pelaburan berdasarkan risiko rendah/sederhana/tinggi; mereka ini akan menyimpan emas apabila platform risiko rendah mereka sudah cukup stabil.
i tak percaya kpd emas so much but worth as diversification. emas is just a commodity (not consumable pn), and ada kos incurred utk simpan. nk guna as currency? definitely bkn masa kita hidup…
Saya pula sebaliknya, tak percaya kpd duit fiat yg terbukti telah mengkhianati kita selama ini, manakala emas telah terbukti menyimpan nilai walaupun telah beribu tahun berlalu.
Ini terbukti, kambing di Zaman Nabi berharga 1 dinar , sekarang juga di zaman kita berharga 1 dinar=RM500 sekarang.
saya ada satu soalan direct to the point..
adakah sekarang masa sesuai membeli emas atau perlu tunggu sehingga harga turun dulu?
sekarang masih murah, boleh beli segera
10 reasons why gold price will boom
Gold price has been in a volatile condition in the last two months. While some analysts have predicted that gold price is doomed and would plunge to a low of $800 per ounce, others hold faith saying that the yellow metal price will only continue to rise and rise.
Following are 10 reasons why gold price will continue to boom:
The Stimulus Effect: Including $1 trillion in cash infusions, the stimulus plan will pump $9.7 trillion into the economy, according to Bloomberg. As the Globe & Mail reports flatly, “Many believe that the monetary stimulus efforts will cause a spike in inflation,” driving gold higher.
COMEX Traders Predict $1,600 Gold… by December: If gold trades at or above $1,600 by December, some 100,000 call option contracts will be “in the money.” Big-money players Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are reportedly helping to drive the action, ahead of a huge purchase of gold futures contracts.
“Big Money” Inflows: In 2008, NYC-based hedge fund Paulson & Co’s flagship fund returned 37%, as the world markets burned. Paulson’s bullish on gold, big time, including the Mar. 17 purchase of 39.9 million shares of AngloGold, worth $1.28 billion. Other major hedge funds are piling into gold, too, including Eton Park Capital, Greenlight Capital and Hayman Advisors.
China’s Doubling Down! China just revealed that it has doubled its gold holdings to 1,054 tons. Yet that still only equals 1.6% of its overall reserves. As China moves out of U.S. Treasuries and into gold, this will help fuel the next leg of the run-up.
Demand Building across the Board: Worldwide demand for gold jumped by $29.7 billion in the first quarter, a 36% bolt, according to the World Gold Council. Demand for gold ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) rocketed 540%… another trigger for the coming gold boom.
The Paper Dollar’s 30% Drop: Since 2001, the U.S. Dollar Index has tanked 30%… while gold has risen 300%. With all the downward pressure on the dollar, and inflation on the way, this trend is about to pick up steam.
Gold/Dow Ratio Signals $8,000 Gold: During major gold bull markets (and corresponding equity bears), gold and the Dow converge at a 1-to-1 ratio. During the last gold bull, the Dow sank to 850 and gold rose to $850. The Dow is now over 8,000… But even if it fell to 4,000, we could see $4,000 gold before this bull run is over!
U.S. Treasury Dept. Signals $5,468 Gold: Currently, the U.S. government holds about 286.9 million ounces of gold. It has printed about $1.569 trillion worth of paper dollars. If each dollar were backed by gold, that would put the price at $5,468.80 an ounce.
Riding the “Commodity Super Cycle”: Jim Rogers expects the Commodity Super Cycle to drive commodity prices higher for another eight years… including gold. And he’s stockpiling the yellow metal by the day. Every pullback, says Rogers, is another buying opportunity. Considering he’s been dead right on every major trend of the past 40 years, we wouldn’t bet against him.
Historic Model Predicts $6,214 Gold: During the last gold bull, the yellow metal ran from $35 an ounce to $850, a 24-fold increase. This bull started with gold at $255.95, meaning that if historic trends hold, the price target would be $6,214 an ounce.
menurut saya keduanya sama2 bagus…
cuma kita lihat dulu situasi dan kondisinya
Melihat situasi semasa, emas lebih baik sbg pelaburan berbanding simpanan. Mungkin 10% dari portfolio pelaburan adalah had yg ditetapkan berdasarkan ianya komoditi, berisiko tinggi dan terdedah dgn spekulasi..Jangkamasa panjang menunjukkan ada trend meningkat sejajar dgn masa..
Kalu sbg simpanan adalah kurang wajar kerana nilai spread yg tinggi dan risiko kerugian sekiranya memerlukan wang tunai segera..
I remember not long ago masa Utube-ing mengenai NWO….The Video owner point out sesuatu tentang emas….dia cakap beli emas (jongkong/brg kemas) sebanyak yg kita mampu before ekonomi crash…before duit habis d bank….wlpn nilainya turun….at least kita masih ada something ntuk beli makanan….I’m not a fan of barang2 emas ni…in fact I dont have any….except cincin kahwin…itupun emas putih….tapi apa yg dia cakap ada betulnya,yg penting mampu….klu dah nak makan pun tak mampu masih nak beli….memang mintak kene sepak ngan husband…..menempah maut ngan along…..